Closing the Affordability Gap

Up until recently, the Seasonax app was only available to users of Bloomberg or Reuters terminals, putting it out of reach of most non-institutional investors. This has now changed. A  HYPERLINK “https://app.seasonax.com/”web-based version has become available which anyone can use, and it comes at a much lower price point as well. When visiting the site where the app is hosted, this is the welcome screen:

 

Featured patterns at the Seasonax web app page

 

Featured patterns can be explored for free – these are occasionally  changed/updated, but will always feature stocks with interesting individual seasonal trend characteristics. After you register with the site (for free), additional freely accessible featured patterns will become available.

In short, there is plenty of stuff to play around with at no cost if you just want to explore the app and its functions. Full functionality will become available once you subscribe.

We already described the main functions of the Seasonax app in the context of the Bloomberg/Reuters version, so if you are not familiar with it and want to know what it can do, you can start by reading our introduction here:  HYPERLINK “http://www.acting-man.com/?page_id=49532”Seasonax – What It Is And What It Can Do For You.

Obviously, the first sentence stating that the app is only available on Bloomberg and Reuters is no longer true, but all the other features described in the introduction are available on the web app as well. There are a few small differences though, which we will address further below.

But first, here is a look at the web app in action – this example shows a 33-year seasonal chart of gold, on which we have highlighted the time period from today (August 10) to October 8, the next seasonal interim peak. All the statistics you see on the right hand side and in the smaller windows below the main chart window refer exclusively to this time period. This is a chart without filters applied.

The list at the bottom is cut off on this screenshot – it shows all the details for this time period for every single year contained in the 33-year seasonal average. In the app you can scroll down and see the other years as well.

 

Gold, 33-year seasonal chart with the time period August 10 – October 8 selected.

 

33 years is the longest seasonal chart available for gold, but shorter time periods can of course be chosen as well (as a tip, per experience it is well worth looking at more than one time period and also make use of the filtering options).

The app is very easy to understand and operate. Here is a brief tutorial video that shows how it’s done:

 

Seasonax app – a brief tutorial for beginners

 

Differences Between the Terminal and Web App Versions

So what is the difference between the web version and the Bloomberg version? The web version actually has a function that has not yet been implemented in the  Bloomberg/Reuters app, namely so-called “detrended” charts.

What does that mean? A detrended chart starts and ends at 100 – but still shows all the fluctuations of the selected instrument. This is very useful when e.g. trying to find periods of relative seasonal strength and weakness in securities which have been in very long-lasting and persistent up- or downtrends with very few interruptions (such as e.g. the “FANG” stocks or Bitcoin).

Of course the web app has a few small drawbacks as well (which is why the apps for the professional terminals remain considerably more expensive). Inter alia it uses other data providers which lack the depth and breadth of these professional services.

Therefore the web app offers “only” access to 12,094 different instruments from 18 sectors and 13 exchanges and is limited with respect to how far back the data go. You can e.g. look at a 68-year seasonal chart of the SPX and a 30-year seasonal chart of the DJIA, but not a 120-year chart. For most traders this limitation is not going to represent a major obstacle.

Also, only end-of-day historical charts are available, but no intraday studies. A large bank or a large manufacturing company that has to hedge several hundred million dollars every year will probably need those, as a few ticks can save it a fortune.

For a small trader and investor annual EOD seasonal charts are more likely to be useful. They will tell you when you have the “statistical wind” at your back and will help with the generation of trading ideas as well. As a general tip: there are still a great many undiscovered seasonal patterns in individual stocks, which can offer quite a big edge to traders.   

Note that the app is continually improved, which means in this context that new data providers and securities will be added regularly. New features are going to be integrated in both the Bloomberg/Reuters and the web app versions on a regular basis as well. In short, the app will become ever more useful over time, without becoming more expensive.

 

Subscription Details

Once you subscribe to the app, the first three days are for free, and in this time period the subscription can still be canceled at no cost. In other words, if you are interested in becoming a subscriber, you will have more time to play around for free before you make up your mind for good.

Note that subscribers will also be able to save favorites – i.e., any new seasonal patterns you discover can be saved and recalled at any time, which is obviously quite advantageous.

Finally, you should of course make use of the bonus/discount we can offer you if you subscribe through Acting Man. In order to find out about the details of the offer and obtain the required bonus code please e-mail us at  info@acting-man.com and type “Seasonax” in the subject line.

Please feel free to do so using a pseudonym and a throw-away email address, as we are not in the least interested in zuckerberging your personal data. In fact, the  relationship between us and your personal data is akin to that between a  koala  and rain.

 

What happens when a koala is caught in the rain? He doesn’t give a f…

 

If you are an institutional investor, please let us know and indicate whether you are interested in the web app or the Bloomberg/Reuters version (or both), as there are special offers available for institutions, partly depending on the type of order.

Note: as far as we are aware, the precision of the algorithm used in the the Seasonax app for calculating seasonal charts is to this day unsurpassed. Give your trading a statistical edge!

 

Charts by: Seasonax

 

Link to the web app:  Seasonax seasons, patterns and cycles

 

Get your  bonus code here (subject line “Seasonax”)

 

 

 

Emigrate While You Can... Learn More

 


 

 
 

Dear Readers!

You may have noticed that our so-called “semiannual” funding drive, which started sometime in the summer if memory serves, has seamlessly segued into the winter. In fact, the year is almost over! We assure you this is not merely evidence of our chutzpa; rather, it is indicative of the fact that ad income still needs to be supplemented in order to support upkeep of the site. Naturally, the traditional benefits that can be spontaneously triggered by donations to this site remain operative regardless of the season - ranging from a boost to general well-being/happiness (inter alia featuring improved sleep & appetite), children including you in their songs, up to the likely allotment of privileges in the afterlife, etc., etc., but the Christmas season is probably an especially propitious time to cross our palms with silver. A special thank you to all readers who have already chipped in, your generosity is greatly appreciated. Regardless of that, we are honored by everybody's readership and hope we have managed to add a little value to your life.

   

Bitcoin address: 12vB2LeWQNjWh59tyfWw23ySqJ9kTfJifA

   
 

Your comment:

You must be logged in to post a comment.

Most read in the last 20 days:

  • As the Madness Turns
      A Growing Gap The first quarter of 2019 is over and done.  But before we say good riddance.  Some reflection is in order.  To this we offer two discrete metrics.  Gross domestic product and government debt.   US nominal GDP vs total federal debt (in millions of USD) – government debt has exceeded  total economic output for the first time in Q4 2012 and since then its relative growth trajectory has increased – and it seems the gap is set to widen further....
  • Bitcoin Jumps as Ordered -  Precious Metals Supply and Demand
      Digital Asset Rush The only part of our April Fools article yesterday that was not said with tongue firmly planted in cheek was the gold and silver price action (though framed it in the common dollar-centric parlance, being April Fools):   “Gold went down $21, while silver dropped about 1/3 of a dollar. Not quite a heavy metal brick in free fall, but close enough.”   Bitcoin, hourly – a sudden yen for BTC breaks out among the punters. [PT]   It also...
  • A Trip Down Memory Lane – 1928-1929 vs. 2018-2019
      Boom Times Compared It has become abundantly clear by now that the late 2018 swoon was not yet the beginning of the end of the stock market bubble – at least not right away. While money supply growth continues to decelerate, the technical underpinnings of the rally from the late December low were actually quite strong – in particular, new highs in the cumulative NYSE A/D line indicate that it was broad-based.   Cumulative NYSE A/D line vs. SPX – normally the A/D line...
  • Debt Growth and Capital Consumption - Precious Metals Supply and Demand
      A Worrisome Trend If you read gold analysis much, you will come across two ideas. One, inflation so-called (rising consumer prices) is not only running much higher than the official statistic, but is about to really start skyrocketing. Two, buy gold because gold will hedge it. That is, the price of gold will go up as fast, or faster, than the price of gold.   CPI monthly since 1914, annualized rate of change. In recent years CPI was relatively tame despite a vast increase in the...
  • Unsolicited Advice to Fed Chair Powell
      Unsolicited Advice to Fed Chair Powell American businesses over the past decade have taken a most unsettling turn.  According to research from the Securities Industry and Financial Markets Association, as of November 2018, non-financial corporate debt has grown to more than $9.1 trillion [ed note: this number refers to securitized debt and business loans, other corporate liabilities would add an additional $11 trillion for a total of $20.5 trillion].   US non-financial corporate...
  • Long Term Stock Market Sentiment Remains as Lopsided as Ever 
      Investors are Oblivious to the Market's Downside Potential This is a brief update on a number of sentiment/positioning indicators we have frequently discussed in these pages in the past. In this missive our focus is exclusively on indicators that are of medium to long-term relevance to prospective stock market returns. Such indicators are not really useful for the purpose of market timing -  instead they are telling us something about the likely duration and severity of the bust that...
  • The Liquidity Drought Gets Worse
      Money Supply Growth Continues to Falter Ostensibly the stock market has rallied because the Fed promised to maintain an easy monetary policy. To be sure, interest rate hikes have been put on hold for the time being and the balance sheet contraction (a.k.a.“quantitative tightening”) will be terminated much earlier than originally envisaged. And yet, the year-on-year growth rate of the true broad money supply keeps declining noticeably.   The year-on-year growth rates of...
  • The Effect of Earnings Season on Seasonal Price Patterns
      Earnings Lottery Shareholders are are probably asking themselves every quarter how the earnings of companies in their portfolios will turn out. Whether they will beat or miss analyst expectations often seems akin to a lottery.   The beatings will continue until morale improves... [PT]   However, what is not akin to a lottery are the seasonal trends of corporate earnings and stock prices. Thus breweries will usually report stronger quarterly earnings after the...
  • The Gold-Silver Ratio Continues to Rise - Precious Metals Supply and Demand
      Is Silver Hard of Hearing? The price of gold inched down, but the price of silver footed down (if we may be permitted a little humor that may not make sense to metric system people). For the gold-silver ratio to be this high, it means one of two things. It could be that speculators are avoiding the monetary metals and metal stackers are depressed. Or that something is going on in the economy, to drive demand for the metals in different directions.   As a rule the gold silver...
  • What Were They Thinking?
      Learning From Other People's Mistakes is Cheaper One benefit of hindsight is that it imparts a cheap superiority over the past blunders of others.  We certainly make more mistakes than we’d care to admit.  Why not look down our nose and acquire some lessons learned from the mistakes of others?   Bitcoin, weekly. The late 2017 peak is completely obvious in hindsight... [PT]   A simple record of the collective delusions from the past can be quickly garnered from...

Support Acting Man

Item Guides

Austrian Theory and Investment

j9TJzzN

The Review Insider

Archive

Dog Blow

350x200

THE GOLD CARTEL: Government Intervention on Gold, the Mega Bubble in Paper and What This Means for Your Future

Realtime Charts

 

Gold in USD:

[Most Recent Quotes from www.kitco.com]

 


 

Gold in EUR:

[Most Recent Quotes from www.kitco.com]

 


 

Silver in USD:

[Most Recent Quotes from www.kitco.com]

 


 

Platinum in USD:

[Most Recent Quotes from www.kitco.com]

 


 

USD - Index:

[Most Recent USD from www.kitco.com]

 

Mish Talk

 
Buy Silver Now!
 
Buy Gold Now!