The Machines Are Coming!

Recently, I have seen a lot of discussion about the future of employment. Many people, from futurists to Leftists, are saying that machines will replace people and most people will be unemployed. This is hogwash, though it has been popular for at least 200 years, when the Luddites were smashing machinery.

Perhaps they didn’t know better, in the early days of Industrial Revolution. Maybe they really didn’t think of machines as providing an escape from drudgery.

They might not have thought that people were freed from long days of backbreaking labor. They may not have considered that increasing productivity benefits the worker, the investor, and the customer—pretty much everyone.

Today, we don’t have their excuse. Economics teaches these points clearly, and this is not my point in writing this essay.

 

700364-real-world-robotsMotoman caught in flagrante delicto, stealing the job of a short order cook. Somebody's got to do something!

(Photo credit: AP)

 

My point is that we have too many closet central planners, screaming to get out. Workers are afraid of losing their jobs. Social thinkers worry about unemployment.

Economists refuse to understand rising productivity. Futurists fret that there is a dark side to progress. All of them are lending their support to central planning, whether they realize it or not.

Implicit in every one of these views is a simple confession. The worker, the social thinker, the economist, and the futurist do not know what the next big industry, the next big employer, will be. And, it’s not their job to know that!

This is the flaw in central planning. The central planner does not know.

It’s the entrepreneur’s job to figure out how best to put people to work.

 

bmw robots


Industrial robots in a BMW factory. Today, more and more manufacturing is done by machines. As Bastiat pointed out, it is the task of economists to look beyond that which can be seen. What this revolution in manufacturing has brought about is not only a big decline in manufacturing employment, it has also enabled consumers to enjoy more, better and cheaper manufactured goods than ever before. Nobody thinks of complaining today that over 90% of the back-breaking jobs that once existed in agriculture have disappeared. Neither does such a complaint make sense in the context of manufacturing. People once complained bitterly about the long work hours and drudgery they were subjected to in factories. Now they are complaining of being relieved of it…it just makes no sense. They seemingly don't realize that there are categories of jobs today that didn't even exist ten years ago. As long as there is more land (in the widest sense) than labor, and as long as not all human wants are 100% satisfied, there will be remunerative work to do for everybody who wants to work. Involuntary unemployment is entirely due to so-called 'pro labor' laws hampering the market (picture comments by PT, photo credit: BMW).

 

Dr. Keith Weiner is the president of the Gold Standard Institute USA, and CEO of Monetary Metals.  Keith is a leading authority in the areas of gold, money, and credit and has made important contributions to the development of trading techniques founded upon the analysis of bid-ask spreads.  Keith is a sought after speaker and regularly writes on economics.  He is an Objectivist, and has his PhD from the New Austrian School of Economics.  He lives with his wife near Phoenix, Arizona.

 

 

 

Emigrate While You Can... Learn More

 


 

 
 

Dear Readers!

You may have noticed that our so-called “semiannual” funding drive, which started sometime in the summer if memory serves, has seamlessly segued into the winter. In fact, the year is almost over! We assure you this is not merely evidence of our chutzpa; rather, it is indicative of the fact that ad income still needs to be supplemented in order to support upkeep of the site. Naturally, the traditional benefits that can be spontaneously triggered by donations to this site remain operative regardless of the season - ranging from a boost to general well-being/happiness (inter alia featuring improved sleep & appetite), children including you in their songs, up to the likely allotment of privileges in the afterlife, etc., etc., but the Christmas season is probably an especially propitious time to cross our palms with silver. A special thank you to all readers who have already chipped in, your generosity is greatly appreciated. Regardless of that, we are honored by everybody's readership and hope we have managed to add a little value to your life.

   

Bitcoin address: 12vB2LeWQNjWh59tyfWw23ySqJ9kTfJifA

   
 

One Response to “In the Future, Will Everyone Be Unemployed?”

  • Kreditanstalt:

    Good points! The trouble is that the benefits accruing from increases in productivity go to the very limited numbers of immediately-involved entrepreneurs, business-owners and highly-paid technicians/employees.

    I’m *NOT* calling for any kind of government action in response to this, though. In fact, were I freed of property taxes, mandatory municipal bills, base-rate utility costs and sundry taxes and deductions I could live for a very long time on my savings and a very minimal income from part-time employment!

    We live in an era of unprecedented leisure – something we could realise IF government and its multitudinous misallocations of capital, propping-up of inefficient employees and industries, cronyism, favouritism, and monopoly-granting were eliminated.

Your comment:

You must be logged in to post a comment.

Most read in the last 20 days:

  • Repo Quake – A Primer
      Chaos in Overnight Funding Markets Most of our readers are probably aware that there were recently quite large spikes in repo rates. The events were inter alia chronicled at Zerohedge here and here. The issue is fairly complex, as there are many different drivers at play, but we will try to provide a brief explanation.   There have been two spikes in the overnight general collateral rate – one at the end of 2018, which was a first warning shot, and the one of last week,...
  • Curious Events in Risk-Free Collateral-Land - Precious Metals Supply and Demand
      Liquidity Shortage Last week the price of gold rose $28, and silver $0.53. But the prices of the metals was not the big news last week. The price of repo — a repurchase agreement, to sell and repurchase a treasuries — skyrocketed. Banks were thirsty for liquidity, and only cash can quench it.   Last week's “oops” moment in repo land as the overnight general collateral rate briefly soared to 10% (we will soon publish a detailed summary of the sequence of events that...
  • The Inexorable Final Collapse
      Groping in the Dark This week central planners pursued their primary mission with steadfast conviction. They planned. They prodded. They prearranged tomorrow to save us from ourselves. Some also grubbed a little graft for their trouble. Other central planners took to debasing the dollar to price fix the federal funds rate within a narrow band of tolerance.  What in the world do they think they are doing?   Central planning committee in the analysis and forecasting phase......
  • Elizabeth Warren’s Plans to MAGA
      21st Century Hooverville There are places in Los Angeles where, although the sun always shines, they haven’t seen a ray of light in over 100-years.  There’s a half square mile of urban decay centered on the Union Rescue Mission at 545 South San Pedro Street, where depravity, chaos, addiction, insanity and archaic diseases multiply and ricochet about like metastatic cancer.   One of LA's modern-day Hoovervilles in San Pedro Street...  In 2015 it was reported that Union...
  • The System Scrapes By - Precious Metals Supply and Demand
      An Accident in Waiting The price of gold dropped $20, and silver 43 cents. For reference, $20 was once worth just about an ounce of gold. Dollar was a unit of measure, a weight of gold equal to 1/20.67 ounce of fine gold.   A gold certificate from the time when the dollar still represented a fixed weight of gold [PT]   Today, it is an irredeemable currency, defined not as a unit of weight but as a unit of central bank liability which is backed by government debt,...
  • Zugzwang - Precious Metals Supply and Demand
      Respectable and Not so Respectable Assets The price of gold went up 8 bucks, and the price of silver went up a penny last week. These were not among the capital assets that could be liquidated for greater quantities of consumer goods last week. Nor were equities.   A respectable, mother-in-law-proof speculation: the 10-year US treasury note. [PT]   However, the consumer goods stockpile stored in treasury bonds (to extend our half sarcastic, half tongue-in-cheek...
  • Fed Chair Powell’s Inescapable Contradiction
      Under the Influence   “This feels very sustainable.”  – Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell, October 8, 2019   Understandable confusion... [PT]   Conflict and contradiction.  These were two of the main themes reverberating around the world of centralized monetary planning this week. On Tuesday, for instance, a novel and contradictory central banker parlance – “reserve management purposes” – was birthed into existence by Fed Chair Jay...

Support Acting Man

Austrian Theory and Investment

j9TJzzN

The Review Insider

Archive

Dog Blow

THE GOLD CARTEL: Government Intervention on Gold, the Mega Bubble in Paper and What This Means for Your Future

Realtime Charts

 

Gold in USD:

[Most Recent Quotes from www.kitco.com]

 


 

Gold in EUR:

[Most Recent Quotes from www.kitco.com]

 


 

Silver in USD:

[Most Recent Quotes from www.kitco.com]

 


 

Platinum in USD:

[Most Recent Quotes from www.kitco.com]

 


 

USD - Index:

[Most Recent USD from www.kitco.com]

 

Mish Talk

 
Buy Silver Now!
 
Buy Gold Now!